V. P. Chistyakov, B.A. Sevast’yanov, and V.K. Zakharov

Probability Theory for Engineers, 1987, 173 pp., ISBN 0-911575-13-8, $30.00

A concise, authoritative introductory text specifically designed to meet the needs of Engineers by three world-renowned experts from the prestigious Steklov Institute of Mathematics, Moscow. A unique feature is the systematic use of the notion of Random Variable rather than the Distribution Law. Succinct and yet precise treatment with a profusion of illustrative examples, and problems. Separate chapters on Least Squares method, Hypothesis testing, and Statistical Estimation, including the Principle of Maximum Likelihood. Foreword by G. Kallianpur.
 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Foreword ..... xi

Preface ..... xiii
 
 

CHAPTER 1. MATHEMATICAL MODELS OF RANDOM PHENOMENA ..... 1

1.1. Mathematical Models ..... 1

1.2. Random Phenomena ..... 1

1.3. Space of Elementary Events ..... 3

1.4. Algebra of Events ..... 4

1.5. Probability: Basic Definitions ..... 6

1.6. Finite Probability Spaces ..... 7

1.7. Countable Probability Spaces ..... 12

1.8. Continuous Probability Spaces ..... 14

PROBLEMS ..... 18
 
 

CHAPTER 2. CONDITIONAL PROBABILITIES.
INDEPENDENCE OF EVENTS ..... 20

2.1. Conditional Probabilities ..... 20

2.2. The Total Probability Formula. The Bayes Formula. ..... 23

2.3. Independence of Events ..... 25

2.4. Applications of the Total Probability Formula ..... 26

PROBLEMS ..... 28
 
 

CHAPTER 3. SEQUENCES OF TRIALS ..... 31

3.1. Definition of a Sequence of Indpendent Trials ..... 31

3.2. General Definition of a Sequence of Trials ..... 35

PROBLEMS ..... 38
 
 

CHAPTER 4. LIMIT THEOREMS IN A BERNOULLI MODEL ..... 39

4.1. Poisson’s Theorem ..... 39

4.2. The De Moivre-Laplace Theorem ..... 41

PROBLEMS ..... 47
 
 

CHAPTER 5. RANDOM VARIABLES ..... 49

5.1. Random Variables: Finite Scheme ..... 49

5.2. Random Variables: Countable Scheme ..... 54

5.3. Random Variables: General Scheme. Distribution Function ..... 55

5.4. Functions of Random Variables ..... 63

PROBLEMS ..... 64
 
 

CHAPTER 6. JOINT DISTRIBUTION OF RANDOM VARIABLES ..... 66

6.1. Multidimensional Distribution Laws ..... 66

6.2. Independence of Random Variables ..... 69

6.3. Convolution of Distributions ..... 71

PROBLEMS ..... 75
 
 

CHAPTER 7. MATHEMATICAL EXPECTATION ..... 76

7.1. Mathematical Expectation: Finite Scheme ..... 76

7.2. Mathematical Expectation: Countable Scheme ..... 83

7.3. Mathematical Expectation: The General Case ..... 84

PROBLEMS ..... 89
 
 

CHAPTER 8. VARIANCE AND MOMENTS ..... 90

8.1. Definition of Variance ..... 90

8.2. Properties of Variance ..... 93

8.3. Moments of Higher Order ..... 96

PROBLEMS ..... 98
 
 

CHAPTER 9. COVARIANCE AND CORRELATION COEFFICIENTS ..... 99

PROBLEMS ..... 104
 
 

CHAPTER 10. THE LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS ..... 106

10.1. The Chebyshev Inequality ..... 106

10.2. The Weak Law of Large Numbers ..... 107

PROBLEMS ..... 109
 
 

CHAPTER 11. CENTRAL LIMIT THEOREM ..... 111

PROBLEMS ..... 116
 
 

CHAPTER 12. PROCESSING MEASUREMENT DATA ..... 117

12.1. Sample ..... 117

12.2. Estimation ..... 117

12.3. Interval Estimates ..... 123

12.4. Maximum Likelihood Method of Parameter Estimation. Method of Moments ..... 126
 
 

CHAPTER 13. THE METHOD OF LEAST SQUARES ..... 129
 

CHAPTER 14. STATISTICAL TESTING OF HYPOTHESES ..... 136

14.1. The 2-criterion ..... 136

14.2. Choosing Between Two Hypotheses ..... 139
 

Tables ..... 142

Appendix. Proof of the Local De Moivre-Laplace Theorem ..... 147

Answers to the Problems ..... 149

References ..... 153

Index ..... 155

Transliteration Table (Russian-English) ..... 159
 

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